Economy

Economy

Macroeconomic trends, interest rates, inflation, jobs, central bank policy, and the effects of fiscal policy.

economy

Bank of England Holds Rates at 3.75% in 5–4 Vote, Signaling Cuts Are Near

A razor-thin Bank of England vote kept rates at 3.75% as inflation cools faster, splitting policymakers over how soon to cut again.

#bankofengland, #interestrates, #inflation, #ukeconomy, #gilts

economy

Eurozone inflation rises to 1.9% in February, complicating ECB rate-cut outlook

Eurozone inflation ticked up to 1.9% in February as services and core prices rose, challenging expectations for near-term ECB rate cuts.

#eurozone, #inflation, #ecb, #interestrates, #eurostat

economy

U.S. Adds 130,000 Jobs in January as Benchmark Revisions Rewrite 2025 Hiring

Hiring beat forecasts in January and unemployment edged down, but big Labor Department revisions show 2025 job growth nearly stalled.

#jobsreport, #unemployment, #federalreserve, #wages, #bls

economy

Warsh Fed Nomination Heads to Senate as Powell Investigation Tests Central Bank Independence

Trump’s pick of Kevin Warsh to succeed Jerome Powell hits the Senate amid a DOJ probe of Powell, market whiplash and warnings over Fed autonomy.

#federalreserve, #kevinwarsh, #jeromepowell, #interestrates, #senate

economy

Reeves touts improving outlook, but watchdog warns UK’s fiscal cushion is thin as energy shocks hit markets

UK forecasts show slower growth and higher joblessness as the OBR warns a slim fiscal buffer could vanish if Middle East conflict keeps energy prices high.

#uk, #budget, #inflation, #energy, #ftse100

economy

ECB Warns Iran Conflict Could Rekindle Inflation If Hormuz Energy Flows Are Hit

ECB chief economist Philip Lane warns a prolonged Iran war and Hormuz disruptions could spike oil and gas prices, reviving inflation and stalling euro-zone growth.

#ecb, #inflation, #oil, #hormuz, #eurozone

economy

IMF Hails U.S. Growth but Warns Deficits Put Debt on ‘Stability Risk’ Path

IMF says U.S. growth is strong and inflation easing, but warns deficits of 7%–8% of GDP could push debt to 140% by 2031.

#imf, #usdebt, #deficit, #inflation, #tariffs

economy

Euro-Area Inflation Falls Below ECB Target, but Rate Cuts Remain on Hold

Euro-area inflation dipped to 1.7% in January, below the ECB’s 2% target. Officials held rates at 2% as energy prices fell and gaps widened.

#eurozone, #inflation, #ecb, #interestrates, #eurostat

economy

U.S. Firms Announce 108,000 January Job Cuts as Hiring Plans Hit Record Low

Planned layoffs jumped to 108,435 in January, led by transportation, tech and health care, while intended hires fell to a record low, Challenger reports.

#layoffs, #jobs, #ups, #amazon, #interestrates

economy

Banxico Pauses Rate Cuts at 7%, Citing New Taxes and Tariffs That Could Delay Inflation Target to 2027

Mexico’s central bank held its benchmark rate at 7%, ending 12 cuts, and warned new excise taxes and import tariffs may push inflation back to target by 2027.

#mexico, #banxico, #interestrates, #inflation, #tariffs

economy

Bank of England holds rates at 3.75% in knife-edge vote, signals cuts likely ahead

BoE keeps Bank Rate at 3.75% on a 5-4 vote, but shifts dovish as inflation cools and growth slows, lifting bets on spring rate cuts.

#bankofengland, #interestrates, #inflation, #ukeconomy, #gilts

economy

China’s clean-energy boom carried 2025 growth as property slump deepened, analysis finds

New research estimates clean energy made up 11.4% of China’s GDP in 2025 and drove 37% of growth, offsetting a sharp real-estate downturn.

#china, #cleanenergy, #electricvehicles, #solarpower, #tradewar

economy

Euro Area Inflation Gauge Gets a Makeover as ECB Watches the Numbers

Eurostat rolls out a new rulebook for the HICP inflation index, adding gambling and updating spending categories—while keeping headline rates largely unchanged.

#eurozone, #inflation, #ecb, #eurostat, #hicp

economy

RBA Raises Rates to 3.85% as Inflation Reignites, Ending Australia’s 2025 Easing Cycle

Australia’s central bank lifts rates for the first time in two years, citing re-accelerating inflation, strong demand and housing pressures.

#australia, #interestrates, #inflation, #rba, #mortgages

economy

U.S. job growth slows to post-pandemic low even as layoffs remain near record lows

Hiring cooled sharply in 2025 while unemployment claims stayed low, creating a “low-hire, low-fire” job market that’s squeezing mobility.

#jobsreport, #unemployment, #federalreserve, #wages, #labormarket