Economy

Economy

Macroeconomic trends, interest rates, inflation, jobs, central bank policy, and the effects of fiscal policy.

economy

U.S. GDP Surges at 4.4% Pace as Hiring Slows, Raising Fears of a ‘Jobless Boom’

Third-quarter growth was revised up to 4.4% and profits rebounded, but 2025 job gains slowed sharply and long-term unemployment rose.

#gdp, #jobs, #federalreserve, #inflation, #automation

economy

China Reports 5% Growth in 2025, Meeting Target as Exports Mask Weak Consumption and Property Slump

China says GDP grew 5% in 2025, meeting its goal, but growth leaned on exports as consumption stayed weak, property sank and surplus hit records.

#china, #gdp, #exports, #property, #trade

economy

Powell Says Subpoena Threat Targets Fed Independence; Markets Jolt as Gold Hits Record

Fed Chair Jerome Powell says a DOJ probe over a $2.5B HQ renovation is a pretext to pressure rate cuts, shaking markets and the dollar.

#federalreserve, #interestrates, #dollar, #gold, #justicedepartment

economy

IMF lifts global growth outlook as AI boom offsets trade and debt risks

IMF nudges up 2026 global growth forecast to 3.3%, citing AI-led investment, but warns of tariff uncertainty, market bubbles and record debt.

#imf, #globaleconomy, #artificialintelligence, #trade, #debt

economy

China Pledges Over 1 Trillion Yuan in Cheap Credit, Cuts Rates on Targeted Lending Tools

PBOC cuts rates on structural lending tools and expands quotas, adding a 1 trillion yuan line for private firms while holding benchmark policy rates steady.

#china, #pboc, #interestrates, #credit, #yuan

economy

China Posts Record $1.2 Trillion Trade Surplus in 2025 as Exports Surge and Imports Stall

China reported a record $1.19 trillion goods trade surplus in 2025, driven by booming EV and solar exports as weak domestic demand kept imports flat.

#china, #trade, #exports, #evs, #imf

economy

December CPI Seen as First ‘Clean’ Inflation Read Since Shutdown, With Fed Cuts at Stake

After a fall shutdown distorted official price data, economists expect December CPI to offer the first clear look at inflation—shaping 2026 Fed cuts.

#inflation, #cpi, #federalreserve, #interestrates, #bls

economy

Powell Says DOJ Threatened Indictment as Fed-Renovation Probe Sparks Clash With White House

Fed Chair Jerome Powell says DOJ subpoenas and an indictment threat are political pressure on rate policy, roiling markets and raising alarms over Fed independence.

#federalreserve, #interestrates, #doj, #markets, #centralbank

economy

OECD inflation slips below 4% as central banks weigh next moves on rates

Annual inflation across OECD economies fell to 3.9% in November, the first sub-4% reading in four years, but core pressures and energy costs keep caution high.

#inflation, #oecd, #centralbanks, #interestrates, #monetarypolicy

economy

U.N. warns global economy will stay in “low gear,” with growth stuck below pre-pandemic pace

U.N. forecasts global growth slowing to 2.7% in 2026, citing high debt, weak investment and trade tensions, while uneven AI gains deepen divides.

#globaleconomy, #ungrowth, #debt, #trade, #ai

economy

U.S. GDP Surges 4.3% in Q3 as Shutdown Distorts Data and Inflation Reaccelerates

A shutdown-delayed GDP report shows the U.S. economy grew 4.3% in Q3 2025, while inflation and profits jumped—complicating the Fed’s path.

#gdp, #federalreserve, #inflation, #shutdown, #economy

economy

EU carbon border levy enters ‘definitive’ phase in 2026, with first payments due in 2027

Europe’s CBAM shifts from reporting to legal liabilities on Jan. 1, 2026, tying import costs to EU carbon prices—though payments start in 2027.

#eu, #carbonpricing, #trade, #steel, #climatepolicy

economy

Japan’s Monetary Base Shrinks for First Time Since 2007 as BOJ Unwinds Stimulus

Bank of Japan says monetary base fell 4.9% in 2025, first drop in 18 years, signaling a cautious retreat from ultra-easy policy.

#japan, #boj, #interestrates, #inflation, #bonds

economy

Senegal Nears New IMF Deal After Audit Uncovers Hidden Debt and Triggers Funding Freeze

Senegal says it is close to a new IMF program after audits revealed unreported obligations that lifted debt to about 132% of GDP and froze funding.

#senegal, #imf, #debt, #africa, #eurobonds

economy

ECB Holds Rates at 2% and Signals Its Yearlong Cutting Cycle Is Likely Over

The ECB kept rates unchanged and said policy is now “in a good place,” with inflation nearing 2% but wage-driven services prices still a concern.

#ecb, #interestrates, #eurozone, #inflation, #lagarde